Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 14.972019 17.170530 19.597956 22.479949 25.812398 29.549433 34.064756
2025-10-19 12.327384 15.255708 18.755587 23.258703 28.916674 35.813226 44.892455
2025-10-26 10.216740 13.339166 17.285719 22.662424 29.832231 39.113316 52.118604
2025-11-02 8.826547 12.037906 16.286596 22.353412 30.851044 42.414273 59.485119
2025-11-09 7.781657 11.018786 15.473681 22.099388 31.785592 45.554676 66.836347
2025-11-16 6.930680 10.145700 14.727679 21.794465 32.528939 48.399194 73.966382
2025-11-23 6.193081 9.341731 13.973071 21.355003 32.965719 50.757748 80.530983
2025-11-30 5.910687 9.177019 14.130169 22.280891 35.542449 56.587203 93.139188
2025-12-07 5.530736 8.816626 13.940342 22.622244 37.195577 61.081125 104.024753
2025-12-14 5.117924 8.359662 13.546554 22.577446 38.182844 64.542440 113.491804
2025-12-21 4.723589 7.893252 13.088758 22.368338 38.847650 67.487027 122.325280
2025-12-28 4.559190 7.794048 13.226211 23.180276 41.350627 73.849769 138.042134
2026-01-04 4.360738 7.623096 13.233047 23.775482 43.549772 79.938416 154.065552
2026-01-11 4.214046 7.529055 13.363446 24.602274 46.253444 87.229482 173.289074
2026-01-18 3.865603 7.040127 12.742583 23.969643 46.115151 89.082330 181.807864
2026-01-25 3.594590 6.670090 12.306029 23.641815 46.526224 92.026902 192.886412
2026-02-01 3.356981 6.342477 11.919890 23.372334 47.017869 95.163388 204.709765
2026-02-08 3.134425 6.025162 11.526274 23.048868 47.360190 98.011426 216.211647
2026-02-15 2.915088 5.696389 11.083240 22.582710 47.353236 100.110152 226.254861
2026-02-22 2.872991 5.715957 11.329417 23.564880 50.528312 109.366615 253.885498
2026-03-01 2.767075 5.597308 11.286032 23.927016 52.379402 115.884090 275.824549
2026-03-08 2.628087 5.399368 11.063362 23.879490 53.305922 120.397784 293.427101
2026-03-15 2.483146 5.177809 10.773790 23.657649 53.809933 123.978338 309.125842